Showdown In Texas: Can Beto O’Rourke Actually Unseat Ted Cruz?
Image above: Senator Ted Cruz (left) and Congressman Beto O’Rourke (right) from their debate on September 21, 2018.
While incumbent Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) continues to hold a lead over Congressman Beto O’Rourke, an Ipsos/Reuters/University of Virginia poll suggests O’Rourke’s grassroots campaign has him leading among likely voters:
U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, leads Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2 percentage points among likely voters, according to an Ipsos online poll released Wednesday in conjunction with Reuters and the University of Virginia. O’Rourke has been closing the gap over the last several months, but this is the first poll that puts him ahead of Cruz.
Forty-seven percent of likely voters told Reuters they would vote for O’Rourke, while 45 percent said they would cast their ballot for Cruz. Three percent said they would vote for “Other,” and 5 percent said “None.” The margin of error on that portion of the poll was 3.5 percentage points.
Ipsos Vice President, Chris Jackson said their firm is attempting to take in voter enthusiasm into account as a way to gauge possible turnout, asking respondents the likelihood they would vote in the midterm elections. “More Democrats are registering at the highest part of the scale, at the 10, than the Republicans,” Jackson told the Texas Tribune, “It demonstrates how Democrats are mobilized. This election is going to be really competitive and it’s going be very hard fought,” he continued.
Of note, the Ipsos poll does not represent voters reactions after the debate held this past Friday. Also, the Real Clear Politics average from other polling firms show Cruz holding onto a slight lead.
The Ipsos poll also measures only likely voters, which may bring false returns when a grassroots candidate is running — their data on the energy following his campaign may play a key roll in the November election. O’Rourke’s campaign for the Senate will bring voters to the polls which could be key for Justice Democrat-backed candidates Lorie Burch (TX-3), Vanessa Adia (TX-12), Adrienne Bell (TX-14), and Linsey Fagan (TX-26) to pull off upsets in Republican-held districts.
However, the opposite could also give O’Rourke a boost against Cruz. Those candidates running on a Social Democratic platform could bring first time and non-voters to the polls. Polling methodology which uses ‘likely’ instead of ‘registered’ voters in the race for Senate may underestimate the true support for O’Rourke within Texas.
Texas has not had a Democratic Senator since 1993 when Bob Krueger lost a special election to Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison. A Democratic candidate for Senator hasn’t been competitive since Loyd Bentson’s 1988 victory when he won 59.2% of the vote. While Texas is still seen by outsiders as being deeply conservative, progressive candidates had success during the 2018 primary cycling — signaling a possible change in state politics.
Cruz and O’Rourke are scheduled for two further debates on September 30th and October 16th prior, to the November 6th general election. In a race this close, the remaining debates could play a pivotal role in determining the eventual winner.
YES YES YES VOTE BLUE VOTE BETO
Yes vote blue…get rid of Cruz
Vote blue! Please unseat Yes!
Let’s pray he doesn’t.
Yes, vote the sweasel out.
we can keep praying that he does and we can vote ted out in a heartbeat !!
I certainly hope so! Cruz has some crazy ideas about what our government should be!
I surely hope so…enough of that good ole boy bunch of crooks!!!
Vote blue to keep our social security!
Pray for Texas if he does; that would be one more step towards socialism and one more step towards making America another Cuba or Venezuela.
I suppose his logo will be “Make America Cuba”!
YES HE CAN. YOU EITHER WANT SOMEONE TO WORK WITH AND FOR YOU DEMOCRATS OR YOU WANT A CRIMINAL IN THE SEAT HASN’T DONE SHIT CRUZ
Get rid of that creepy faced liar cruz!!
What exactly has he accomplished for the state of Texas besides a bunch of spew and taking money from the NRA
VOTE FOR TED CRUZ ……. An outstanding man, he will stand and fight for the good people of Texas, he will fight for our Constitution, freedom,the 2nd amendment and everything the Constitution stand for.
Beto stand by Soros and his money, he’ one world order, socialist communist , he does not stand by us We the People .Beto must not be trusted . Beto is a Democrat socialist one world order.
You just described the Socialst, NAZI lover, Commie Lover DIRTY DONNIE TRUMP! Look what he is doing and the company he keeps, NEO NAZI Bannon and COMMIE Putin! Facts speak for themselves!
He is a dictator
Herlinda you don’t read much or listen to the real news stations do you? Ted Cruz has never done anything for the American people unless you are very rich. He wants to reduce everyone’s Social Security and MEDICARE but he has the best health care that the taxpayers can buy. He will also make over 240thousand dollars a year in pension
You’re an idiot.
I believe so.
I sincerely hope he can!
I’m not from TX but hope so.
If he doesn’t then Texas is crazy and deserves every shitty thing he does to them
I pray that he can. I find Cruz is out for himself and not Texans.
It is difficult to weed out the
Losers, but so rewarding when we do. I vote for the
Yes and I hope so ,Ted Cruz a loser anyways
I hope so!!
I hope so Vote Blue
Beto is a known liar.
All demorats are known for that.
And just how is that Mexican born Cuban white trash any better?
Vote for BETO.
Typical liberal, run a felon for office. Maybe he got it out of the way unlike most of the Libratards that do it in office.
Not unless Texas has lost its mind!!! However, a lot of mostly imported Texans, & a few socialists, can certainly make a difference!
I hope so! Wishing good things for Texas…from NH!
It depends. How committed to fascism are Texans?
I sure hope so.
Vote red save America from evil demcraps
Carol Carpintey VOTE BLUE ????????
Vote the republcan russian puppets out.They are selling our Country to the highest bidder.
Howard Stokes thats the demcraps
Cheryl Casillas. Nope walked away there just for there pocket
Hope so. Blue votes all the way.
Dear God I hope so. Cruz is such an asshat.
God I hope so.
Praying he does
Cruz the Carpet Bomber is a War Monger…We want Universal Healthcare for all of our Citizens with Free Drugs. It is time to let the Government deal with For-Profit Healthcare and Big Pharmaca!!! Take the cost out of the Obscene Military Budget…No More Wars for Corporate Profits!!! ????????GO BETO GO!!!
VOTE Democratic in November
NO way. I don’t like the Democrats.
Melva Keithley spoken by a true trumpeter
Beto lied straight face to Americans at this debate ,no way he’s gonna come close!!!!
Pray Brto wins!
Ted Cruz is the man for the job. Democrats don’t work for Americans.
Ted lying Cruz has been on the job six years. He has done nothing for Texas. Shows up like a puppet at the command of the orange turd. POS! His time is up!
YES HE CAN..WE WANT SOMEONE WHO CARES ABOUT OUR PEOPLE. .
Well Beto is smarter and he is not from Canada. Beto is a real America with morals. I think most of Texas would like that. Besides Cruz has to clear up the Putin thing
Yes. Go Beto.
Anyone who vote for a democrat is totally crazy, if you want to live in socialist Country by all means vote democrat , as for me I don’t want the government running my life, so if you want to live in a free Country vote Republican, just Listen to Bernie Sanders and what are the Democrats they want to control you, I do not want that your chores !!!!!!
Consuelo please take your meds your a little delusional. Another Coco!
Are you a U.S. citizen? Just curious.
You’re Delusional. Stop drinking the Koolaide.
Vote Republican save the nation.
Wow You must watch fox.
Father God Your Kingdom come, Your will be done on earth as it is in heaven for Senator Ted Cruz. In Yeshua’s name, Amen.
I hope so.
No way Texas are smartER than that
He CAN and He WILL…..
Yes he can!
Show them what u r made of. Give Cruz the boot!
#WALKAWAY #REDTSUNAMI #VETOBETO #KEEPTEXASRED #VOTERED
I really Hope So.
WE HOPE SO—VOTE BLUE—VOTE BETO.
I pray so.
Ted Cruz is a much better choice.
beto gonna beat old tRUMPS pool boy .
If there is a God
YES HE WILL!
The boys are on here Y’all.
Yes vote blue
Here’s hoping Beto will win by a landslide !!!!
Yes he can Betos you got this
I hope so!
NEVER VOTE REPUBLICAN IT’S A VOTE FOR THE RICH AND AGAINST YOU
More power to him!
Please! Make it so!!!
YES YES YES YES YES YES
I hope so Cruz is a discusting piece of shit he lies like frump and has been there way too long !!!
Yes he can Florida is rooting for Beto! ?
Vote 4 BETO!
If Texans really care about their state and this country!
I hope so!
Take this jackass, woman hating bastard out Beto!
I hope he beat Ted Cruz, the turn coat. He is worthless sack of Sh**. Vote him out!
that word, ‘liar’ is being used so much these days.
Hope so, creepy Teddy has got to go
Get out, vote red all the way to protect your freedoms, guns, God and country.
Yes!! HES the better man by far!! Vote BLUE!!
Beto has my vote and support!!!
Well, looks like Florida is ready to elect gillum so I suppose Texas may have also caught the nasty socialismitis bug!
He’s looking good
I hope not
I sure hope he can win over Cruz an evil man like Trump.
Yes he can unseat ugly Raphael!
Pray it Positive !
Eduardo Rafael Cruz:
Takes money, under and above the table
He’s a sleezy scummy piece of shit.
Lying-hypocrit and corrupt thief. Christian, when it’s convenient to him. He’s the worst and belongs in the same category as the traitor-in-cheat.
I’m voting for Beto. Come on Texans VOTE BETO!
Yesl Vote BLUE! Get rid of DISGUSTING Cruz!
I hope so
It would he [email protected]
Yes he can!
Beat Ted Cruz socks off.
I HOPE SO
Don’t bet(o) your future on this fraud!
LET’S GO BETO KICK OUT TED CRUZ, HE’S A SWAMP PARASITE.
VOTE Democratic in November no matter what state you live in
I am hoping!
I hope so….??
I think he just might do it.
2018 Y 2020????????????????????
ROFLMAO, y’all wish,but not going to happen,he’s been lying all over T.V. and getting caught . Texans aren’t going to see him in that seat!!!!
Linda G Barry ted cruz doesnt lie?
Judy Metcalf They all do (politicians) since when they havent!!!! ???,but this guy straight up lied and got caught!!!! Really?? Bald face lied with a straight face for all of us to see his wonderful character. NOT!!!!
We can hope.
Hope he does ,get Cruz out money coming from Russia
HE IS GOOD NOT A LIEING PEACHER BOY.
Vote blue Cruz just got to go
Sure hope so!!! HES by far the better man
#WALKAWAY #REDTSUNAMI #VOTERED #VETOBETO #KEEPTEXASRED
Yes we can!!!!!!!
Just VOTE BLUE
Yes he can hopes up fingers crossed
We are hoping enough Texans will actually vote for progress ttlhis time, instead of head in the sand regressivism.
Please let it happen. Please oh Please!!!!!
No way in hell….
Koren Picklesimer We shall see.
I pray that this happens.
Thoes Texans are die.hard republicans & seems as.though they will stick with the most immoral lying conniving corrupt administration ever!
VOTE BLUE TEXAS!!
I REALLY HOPE SO
YES…. I truly believe he can. Cruz ia a yellow- bellied coward who even refuses to stand up for h8mself. How can the people believe he will stand up for them?
VOTE for Beto
I pray he does!
No…. NEVER, DEMORATS SUCK AND ARE ENEMIES OF AMERICANS!
Sue Ross Come on now… are you an end of America?? DemoRAT?? Oh please no….
Yes yes yes.
It appears that Beto is doing just fine in the polls. Vote Blue
we are all praying he will put ted in the swam not in congress.he is a sleezy jerk andf does not belong in our government
Sure hope so! Creepy Cruz can’t hold a candle to Beto!
It could happen.
Beto, hope you wipe his slimy face across the floor.
Please lord father please let be to win he’s honest hard working and teddy Cruz doesn’t work for people only self. Thank you jests amen
I sure pray to GOD, that it happens!
Beto is best for Texas.
Certainly hope so and I’m not frow TX.
Let’s hope so! New faces, new ideas!
Cruz has proven to be a big nothing!
I hope so. Time for big changes
I really hope so.
I sure as hell hope so
If the residents of Texas want change. It will happen, it’s up to Texas.
Yes he can!
Praying he does! Also praying for us in Florida hope Bill Nelson keeps his seat!
Get out and vote Cruz, we don’t need socialist Beto.
There cannot be enough idiots in Texas to put Cruz back in.
Fred Latimer unfortunately there is
Steve Miller oh, Geez! What is the world coming to?
I certainly hope not.
Only if people continue to show how stupid they are .
Says the man who voted for the orange turd!
You bet I did . Apparently you where stupid enough to vote for a Democrat
Hope Ted Cruz is a success.
Beto has our vote! Bobbie and Barbara Upchurch
More power to him!
YES YES TIME FOR SHIT HEAD SHIT HOLE GET OUT GET OUT GET OUT. HA HA HE HAS DONE NOTHING FOR THIS COUNTRY EXCEPT NOW HE WOULD LIKE HIS RETIREMENT FULLY PAID BY TAX PAYERS.
YES HE WILL!!!!!!! IF THEY DON’T FIND A WAY TO CHEAT!!!!!!
Hope so, good luck to him
Please Texas….I don’t care what letter is behind his name….he is the right man to serve in the Senate…..
I hope so
I hope so!!
Go Beto! Unseat this spineless Ted!
I hope so!
I certainly hope so!!!Go Beto!!!
Yes we can! Yes we will!
Open borders, gun control. I Hope hr don’t win
Yes hope they watch carefully because6 they will cheat
Probably not. This is Texas after all. But I surely hope so
God help them hope not
If he wins will turn Texas in ca
give him hell Beto
Hope not !
Let’s hope so….sad to see a tough macho state like Texas voting for a well known pussy of a man like lying Ted Cruz.
Yes. They just offered Cruz a job, a Wal-Mart greeter.
I hope so! But we have our hands full in Ga and Fl. At the moment
I hope Ted can hang on
I sure hope so! Love him!
I surely hope so! Way time for Change with these guys!!!
Beto has my vote!!!
Cruz is garbage! We hope Beto will take that seat!
Cruz needs to disappear. Forever. Prayers for Beto
I sure hope so. VOTE BLUE VOTE BETO.
Vote 4 BETO!
The attempted murder on his life did not work – Ted Cruz will remain senator vote RED in Nov.
Go Beto Go! Get slimey lying Ted civilianized now! No hope to civilize the greasy bastard!
He can if decent people get out and vote.
Dens need to get moving everywhere.
Be a patriot.
Dreamers can’t vote.
Yes !! ??
Texas knows its time to kick Cruz to the curb
We are backing O’Rourke